Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 100.663319 111.660820 122.863106 135.098313 148.056383 161.343480 175.969746
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 83.226172 99.176520 116.103656 135.286193 156.305626 178.529754 203.697002
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 71.525754 90.095966 110.423670 134.084055 160.633526 189.291149 222.351192
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 64.337079 85.004932 108.228590 135.856735 167.449032 202.100642 242.641467
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 58.868064 81.225899 106.942295 138.121666 174.349740 214.618640 262.275722
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 52.413312 75.675195 103.082292 136.949007 176.921741 221.926315 275.771442
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 45.972834 69.604287 98.144062 134.088258 177.170646 226.279251 285.645759
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 43.788797 68.662239 99.246907 138.290833 185.593152 239.971609 306.172314
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 41.301303 67.112944 99.429516 141.237452 192.418365 251.736627 324.434852
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 37.229072 63.176622 96.373940 139.997598 194.046980 257.274118 335.349383
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 33.563416 59.521361 93.458209 138.739753 195.494793 262.474242 345.770559
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 31.115481 57.376152 92.362828 139.657882 199.515099 270.674621 359.686953
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 28.616208 55.023875 90.915271 140.093282 202.953989 278.238994 372.963927
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 26.532615 53.133362 89.983213 141.117737 207.081034 286.618079 387.225179
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 23.831198 50.110821 87.345410 139.776110 208.121895 291.163075 396.828027
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 22.385388 48.911248 87.155366 141.608759 213.147962 300.561800 412.277139
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 21.203115 48.039141 87.364419 143.930222 218.773106 310.689921 428.619522
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 19.078718 45.476934 85.036463 142.727629 219.784817 315.059877 437.926944
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 16.665236 42.220710 81.539364 139.792816 218.437927 316.411234 443.480011
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 16.336926 42.528639 83.294276 144.103947 226.574658 329.640809 463.634923
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 15.702967 42.246365 84.135226 147.125918 233.012748 340.747641 481.202126
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 14.077237 40.040593 81.968696 145.854433 233.718426 344.592753 489.784487
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 12.581444 37.932034 79.848131 144.564386 234.335284 348.280020 498.140233